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《中国燃煤电厂大气污染物控制现状2010》摘要

        《中国燃煤电厂大气污染物控制现状2010》在反映2009年中国电力工业发展现状和燃煤电厂大气污染物排放控制现状的同时,分析了国家应对气候变化形势,对模型化方法进行了总结和比较,并以构建电力温室气体减排评价模型为例,介绍了TIMES模型的基本结构和原理,可供研究电力行业温室气体排放控制的机构及研究人员借鉴和参考。

        本报告分三个部分,第一部分全面反映了2009年度中国电力工业发展和燃煤电厂污染物排放控制及相关法规政策出台情况。截至2009年底,全国发电装机总量和发电量分别达到8.74亿千瓦和3.68万亿千瓦时;全国6000千瓦及以上火电机组平均供电标准煤耗为340克/千瓦时,同比下降5克/千瓦时;线路损失率为6.72%,同比下降0.07个百分点;单位火电发电量烟尘排放1.0克/千瓦时,同比下降0.2克/千瓦时;全国脱硫机组容量达到4.7亿千瓦,占煤电机组的比例约为76%,单位火电发电量二氧化硫排放3.2克/千瓦时,同比下降0.6克/千瓦时;全国已投运的烟气脱硝机组接近5000万千瓦,约占煤电机组容量的8%;燃煤电厂大气汞污染控制试点工作准备开展;电力行业二氧化碳排放强度逐年下降。2009年,国家发改委、能源局、电监会、环保部等政府相关部门继续将节能减排作为调整经济结构、转变发展方式的重要抓手,进一步加大节能减排工作力度,全面落实各项节能减排政策措施,出台了一系列法规政策,通过统筹推进、严格问责、节能发电调度、运用市场机制、加大技术推广与评估、开展区域联防联控、积极应对气候变化等措施,有力地促进了电力节能减排工作。

        第二部分重点对全球应对气候变化形势和温室气体减排评价模型予以了分析和介绍。在对全球气候变化的观测结果进行总结的基础上,从生态安全、粮食安全、水资源和人类健康四个方面分析了气候变化对人类社会的影响,并对国际社会应对气候变化的进展以及我国应对气候变化的形势与行动予以介绍。在对温室气体减排评价模型进行归纳和总结的基础上,以构建电力温室气体减排评价模型为例,介绍了TIMES模型的基本结构和原理,并对未来的电力温室气体减排分析进行了情景设置。

Executive Summary

The Current Status of Air pollution control for coal-fired power plants in China: 2010 gives us a general picture of the nation’s power industry in 2009 and its air pollution control of coal-fired power plants. In addition, the document analyses the government’s response to climate change, sums up the pros and cons of the modeling method and introduces the basic structure and principles of TIMES model based on the construction of the green-house gas (GHG) emission-reduction evaluation model of the power industry. In short, it might serve as a reference for the institutions and researchers engaging on the study of GHG emission in the power industry.

This report consists of three parts. The first part gives out an overview of the nation’s power industry in 2009 and the air pollution control of coal-fired power plants and also mentions the related laws and policies thereof. By the end of 2009, the overall installation capacity of the power generation capacity of China has reached 8.74 trillion KW and 36800 trillion KWH respectively. The standard coal consumption of thermal power units with a capacity over 6000 trillion KW stands at 340 g/KWH, a 5 g/KWH drop over the same period of the previous year. The rate of electricity loss from transmission line is reduced to 6.72%, 0.07% less than 2008. The soot emission per unit of coal-fired electricity is 1.0 g/KWH, reduced by 0.2 g/KWH. The capacity of FGD power units amounts to 4.7 trillion KWH, 76% of the overall capacity of coal-fired power units; and the sulfur dioxide emission of the FGD power units decreases by 0.6 g/KWH to 3.2 g/KWH per unit. The capacity of flue gas denitrification units already in operation approximates 50000 MW, 8% of the overall capacity of coal-fired power units. The pilot program to address the mercury contamination of coal-fired power plants is full under wing. And the carbon dioxide emission of the industry has reduced over the years. In 2009, setting energy conservation and emission reduction as vital means to restructure the economy and change the development pattern, the National Development & Reform Commission, National Energy Administration, State Electricity Regulatory Commission, the Ministry of Environmental Protection and relevant departments have promulgated a series of policies and regulations thereof, fully implemented these policies and measures and stepped up the work on energy conservation and emission reduction. The government has also forcefully propelled the energy conservation and emission reduction work forward, using methods like coordination, rigorous accountability system, the adoption of energy-conserving measures in the power industry, taking advantages of the market economy, the increasing promotion and evaluation of technology, the cross-region campaign against pollution and the proactive responses toward climate change.

The second part mainly analyzes and introduces the current global trend for addressing climate change and the evaluation model of greenhouse gas emission reduction. Summarizing the results of observations on global climate change, it analyzes the influence of climate change on human society from such four aspects like ecological safety, food safety, water resources, and human health. Meanwhile, this part introduces the progress of international community in addressing climate change as well as the present situation of climate change in China and the actions taken to address it. Moreover, after the introduction of the evaluation model of GHG emission reduction, this part, taking the construction of the evaluation model of GHG emission reduction in power industry as an example, illustrates the basic structure and principles of the TIMES model and paves the way for analyzing greenhouse emission reduction of power industry in the future.

The third part reviews and summarizes the development of power industry and the results of energy conservation and emission reduction in the Eleventh Five Year Plan tenure. In 2009, the industry realized its set goal of the tenure in advance, giving a strong impetus to the overall energy conservation and emission reduction efforts in China. On the threshold of the Twelfth Five Year Plan tenure, the air pollution control in power industry should combine source control and end-of-pipe treatment so as to help achieving the goal in 2020 of reducing the proportion of non-fossil fuel to primary energy consumption to 15% and lowering the carbon dioxide emission per 10000 dollar of GDP by 40% to 45% from the level in 2005.

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